对于iPhone,IDC显得更为谨慎,预计2017年年增仅4.9%。引用IDC副总裁的原话讲,“We continue to get questions about longer smartphone life cycles given thenumber of markets with high penetration levels, but so far we are not seeing anytrend in this direction”。当前市场对2017年iPhone出货量增长较为一致的预期落在10-15%之间,与IDC预计出入较大。