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<H1>昆药集团：强化大病、慢病精准治疗战略</H1>
<DIV id=newsinfo><a href="http://www.caiguu.com/" target="_blank">股票行情</a>&nbsp;&nbsp;www.caiguu.com&nbsp;&nbsp;发布时间：2016-08-08&nbsp;&nbsp;文章来源：财股网&nbsp;&nbsp;责任编辑：陈天杰
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<DIV class="wenzhang"><div class="intro"><font color="#FF0000"><strong>摘要：</strong></font>事项: 公司公布2016年中报业绩快报,报告期内实现营业收入、归属上市公司股东净利润分别为25亿元、2.48亿元,分别同比增长14.23%、12.24%,符合预期。 平安观点: 口服中药和特色化药保持高增长,高基数和费用会计处理因素拉低表观利润增速,全年业绩仍然高增长。1...</div></DIV>
<p id="hzw">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 事项:<br />
<br />
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 公司公布2016年中报业绩快报,报告期内实现营业收入、归属上市公司股东净利润分别为25亿元、2.48亿元,分别同比增长14.23%、12.24%,符合预期。<br />
<br />
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 平安观点:<br />
<br />
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 口服中药和特色化药保持高增长,高基数和费用会计处理因素拉低表观利润增速,全年业绩仍然高增长。1、以血塞通软胶囊为代表的口服中药以及天眩清等特色化药,符合当前的医保趋势以及一致性评价政策,预计继续保持25-30%的高增长,未来仍有上升的空间;2、由于去年高基数,以及一致性评价费用未作资本化处理原因,导致当期费用率较高,拉低表观利润增速,我们预计,一致性评价费用将在年底作资本化处理,全年业绩增速仍在20%以上。<br />
<br />
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 强化大病、慢病精准治疗战略,完善心脑血管产业生态。1、实施国际化大品种战略:1)不断丰富心脑血管产品梯队:三七(血塞通软胶囊有望FDA认证)、天麻等创新植物药将成为重点品种;2)在研品种聚焦糖尿病、肿瘤、痛风等:包括生物药(GLP-1、糖针胶囊)等;2、心脑血管产业链向医疗服务下游延伸,我们认为布局康复医疗,有利于加强心脑血管产品销售终端覆盖,有效提升慢病领域药品供应的综合实力;3、线上线下医疗布局同时推进:1)已快速切入至互联网医疗:参股专注于&ldquo;医+患&rdquo;的橙医生和专注于&ldquo;医+医&rdquo;的&ldquo;医学V直播&rdquo;,将牢固医生社群,丰富慢病管理生态圈;2)术后护理、康复等特色医疗已在南京落地,未来有望加快推进步伐。<br />
<br />
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 投资建议:专注打造慢病管理体系,着力布局特色医疗领域,维持&ldquo;强烈推荐&rdquo;评级。企业家二代走到前台将确保公司慢病管理以及特色医疗战略落地,新任总裁将深化核心管理团队的国际化构建,同时海内外并购有望加快步伐。我们预计公司未来三年将保持25%以上的增长,2016-18年EPS分别为0.70、0.88、1.09元,对应16年PE仅为20倍,具有较强的安全边际,同时兼具进攻性。<br />
<br />
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 风险提示:药品市场推广低于预期和降价风险,新药研发进度低于预期,外延扩张进度低于预期。（平安证券）</p>
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